Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.610157 0.677325 0.749996 0.834658 0.930817 1.036914 1.163211
2025-08-17 0.490184 0.579578 0.683785 0.815024 0.977001 1.171793 1.425929
2025-08-24 0.434599 0.536046 0.660426 0.825737 1.042074 1.318897 1.705341
2025-08-31 0.388616 0.495371 0.631542 0.820449 1.079653 1.428678 1.944322
2025-09-07 0.356335 0.467163 0.613416 0.824008 1.125267 1.549808 2.210112
2025-09-14 0.324732 0.435931 0.586961 0.811481 1.144468 1.632821 2.427918
2025-09-21 0.299641 0.410882 0.565941 0.803236 1.167031 1.720702 2.661795
2025-09-28 0.271499 0.378927 0.531954 0.771929 1.150342 1.744857 2.793855
2025-10-05 0.260163 0.370128 0.530508 0.788844 1.209100 1.893210 3.152370
2025-10-12 0.249004 0.360542 0.526793 0.801342 1.261207 2.035378 3.519173
2025-10-19 0.237266 0.349087 0.519102 0.806369 1.300733 2.159546 3.869837
2025-10-26 0.226431 0.338170 0.511257 0.810111 1.337836 2.282697 4.235666
2025-11-02 0.217130 0.329219 0.506158 0.818480 1.384780 2.430923 4.679221
2025-11-09 0.203214 0.311986 0.486396 0.799965 1.381287 2.483958 4.934040
2025-11-16 0.196054 0.305230 0.483388 0.810419 1.432203 2.647938 5.455609
2025-11-23 0.186688 0.294185 0.472303 0.805247 1.452490 2.752490 5.860499
2025-11-30 0.179577 0.286455 0.466299 0.808729 1.489713 2.895934 6.381343
2025-12-07 0.170455 0.274738 0.452540 0.796475 1.493979 2.969396 6.743779
2025-12-14 0.162680 0.264901 0.441466 0.788409 1.505900 3.060747 7.167942
2025-12-21 0.152087 0.249573 0.419624 0.757780 1.467623 3.034765 7.278645
2025-12-28 0.149058 0.247452 0.421644 0.774329 1.531644 3.251747 8.091829
2026-01-04 0.145580 0.244315 0.421553 0.786556 1.587374 3.456395 8.914190
2026-01-11 0.141328 0.239529 0.418053 0.791474 1.627161 3.627372 9.674917